Former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s lead over President Jair Bolsonaro has shrunk to 7 percentage points ahead of October elections, according to a new poll released on Monday.
The leftist leader has the support of 41% of voters to 34% for his far-right opponent, compared with 44% and 31%, respectively, last month, the BTG/FSB telephone poll said.
Lula’s lead has steadily dropped to 7 points, compared to 13 last month and 14 in May, according to the survey.
Other polls show Lula’s strong lead shrinking but remaining in double digits: Datafolha estimated Lula leads Bolsonaro by 18 points and a Genial/Quaest poll last week said the difference fell to 12 points from 14. points.
Lula would win a runoff against Bolsonaro by 51% to 39% if the vote were today, a 12-point lead that has narrowed from 18 points last month, the BTG/FSB poll said.
Bolsonaro has increased spending on social welfare, paying higher monthly stipends to low-income families starting Tuesday, and has worked to reduce fuel costs that have fueled inflation, the main complaint of voters.
His negative figures have decreased and 44% of those surveyed consider his government as bad or terrible, compared to 50% at the beginning of June, while 53% say they would never vote for him, compared to 59% in June, according to the new poll. Lula’s rejection rate has risen slightly, to 45% of voters, according to the survey.
The FSB pollster survey, commissioned by investment bank BTG Pactual, surveyed 2,000 people between August 5-7 and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points up or down.