Monday Night Football Betting Tips: Jaguars vs. Bills, Commanders vs. Bengals

As the Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season draws to a close, two exciting matchups feature prominently on Monday night. The evening kicks off with the 2-0 Buffalo Bills, led by quarterback Josh Allen, facing off against the 0-2 Jacksonville Jaguars and their quarterback, Trevor Lawrence, at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. Following that game, the 1-1 Washington Commanders will hit the road to take on the 0-2 Cincinnati Bengals, with the action set to begin at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN+

With the home teams favored in both games, expectations are high for an offensive showdown, especially given the 46.5-point total for each contest. Fantasy and betting analyst Eric Moody offers his insights on the Bills-Jaguars matchup and provides additional betting trends for fans and bettors.

The current betting line for the Bills vs. Jaguars game shows the Bills are favored by 5.5 points, with a money line of -250 for the Bills and +210 for the Jaguars. The over/under for total points has been set at 45.5.

For the first-half spread, the Bills are favored at -3.5. Specific player performance predictions include a total points over/under of 25.5 for the Bills and 19.5 for the Jaguars.

Analyzing player props, Trevor Lawrence’s total passing yards are set at 224.5, and he has an over/under of 1.5 passing touchdowns. For Josh Allen, the same passing yardage total is also set at 224.5 yards, while he has a passing touchdowns over/under of 1.5.

In terms of rushing yards, James Cook is projected to gain over/under 69.5 yards, while Travis Etienne Jr. is estimated at 49.5 yards. Interestingly, even Allen’s rushing performance is considered, with an over/under set at 29.5 yards, while Lawrence’s rushing yards are projected at 14.5.

For receiving performances, multiple players are in focus, including Gabe Davis at 39.5 total receiving yards, Khalil Shakir at 44.5, and Chrisitan Kirk also at 44.5 yards. Other notable prop bets include Dalton Kincaid and Brian Thomas Jr., both hovering around similar receiving yards projections.

Transitioning to the Bengals vs. Commanders matchup, the Bengals are currently favored by 7 points, with a money line of -350 for the Bengals and +280 for the Commanders. The over/under total points remain at 46.5.

The first-half spread shows the Bengals favored at -4.5, and projected total points are set at 19.5 for the Commanders and 27.5 for the Bengals.

Passing performance metrics reveal that Joe Burrow is projected for 274.5 yards, and the over/under for his passing touchdowns is 1.5. Meanwhile, Jayden Daniels from the Commanders has a passing yard total set at 199.5 for the game.

When examining rushing statistics, Brian Robinson Jr. is estimated to gain 59.5 yards, while Zack Moss sits at 49.5. Daniels, also contributing on the ground, is projected at 49.5 rushing yards.

In terms of receiving stats, standout players include Ja’Marr Chase with an over/under of 39.5 yards and Terry McLaurin at 49.5. Tee Higgins, Mike Gesicki, and Zach Ertz also feature prominently with the potential for significant contributions in receiving yards.

Making his picks, Eric Moody forecasts the Bills to cover the -5.0 spread based on their strong start this season and the Jaguars’ struggles. Noting Lawrence’s challenging position, Moody highlights that Jacksonville’s offense has not been productive, placing them near the bottom in total offense in the league.

In terms of individual player performance, Moody predicts Keon Coleman to exceed 34.5 receiving yards despite a slow start, pointing to the Jaguars’ vulnerable secondary. He also believes Christian Kirk will rebound, aiming to exceed 39.5 receiving yards given the absence of key players on the opposing defense.

Building on this, he sees potential in Brian Thomas Jr., predicting he will surpass 39.5 receiving yards based on his past performances and current form.

In the betting trends, the Jaguars hold a strong record as road underdogs, showing a 5-1 trend against the spread in their last six such games. Comparatively, the Bengals have had challenges as heavy favorites, highlighted by Burrow’s mixed results historic against such a spread.

As Monday night approaches, excitement builds for what promises to be a thrilling conclusion to the week in NFL action.

Source: ESPN