War in Ukraine forces China to rethink ‘when and how to invade Taiwan, CIA chief says

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China draws conclusions from Russia’s war in Ukraine that lead it to favor the use of force against Taiwan, so the question is not if it will invade but when and how, estimated this Wednesday (07.20.2022) the head of the INC.

“It seems to us that (the war in Ukraine) does not really affect the issue of whether Chinese leaders might choose to use force against Taiwan in the coming years, but when and how they will do it,” said the head of the US intelligence agency. Bill Burns during a security forum in Aspen, United States.

However, he downplayed the risk that President Xi Jinping will take action before the end of the year, despite the fact that some analysts believe he may do so after an important meeting of the ruling communist party. “These risks are increasing, it seems to us, the further you go in this decade,” he said.

China claims that the self-governing territory of Taiwan, where the nationalists established a government in 1948 after losing power to the communists in the country’s civil war, is part of its territory and has not ruled out the use of force to take control. of the island.

As analyzed by the head of the agency, Beijing is probably “uneasy” seeing the war in Ukraine, calling it a “strategic failure” for Vladimir Putin who believed he could overthrow the Ukrainian government in a week.

Burns believes that China interprets it as proof “that quick and decisive victories are not achieved” without putting much military means.

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“I think the lesson that the Chinese leadership and military are learning is that you need to build up overwhelming force” to win, he said, stressing the importance of “controlling the information space” and preparing for possible economic sanctions.

The CIA chief also considered, in line with previous statements from Washington, that China, despite its verbal support, does not provide military support to Russia in its war in Ukraine.

The United States is concerned about Beijing’s increased military pressure in recent years against Taiwan, a democratic island that China considers part of its territory and intends to one day reclaim.

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